Will any metropolitan French department, coastal zone, or the 'FRANCE' roll‑up be on Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for a heatwave on September 8?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France’s official Vigilance archived map for September 8, 2026 shows at any time that at least one metropolitan French département, a metropolitan coastal zone, or the 'FRANCE' national roll‑up is at Vigilance orange or red for the hazard 'canicule' (heatwave). Only the 'canicule' hazard and metropolitan France count, and the 'FRANCE' national roll‑up counts even if no département is shaded at that level. Verification can come from Météo‑France’s archived map, the Météo‑France Vigilance dataset, Météo‑France press releases, or reporting in major French media. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 137 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

137

Credits staked

4,744

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 7, 2026

Closes

Sep 7, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 9, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 7, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 137 predictions and 4.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French department, coastal zone, or the 'FRANCE' roll‑up be on Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for a heatwave on September 8?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French department, coastal zone, or the 'FRANCE' roll‑up be on Météo‑France Vigilance orange or red for a heatwave on September 8?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.