Will the Soyuz 2.1b carrying Progress MS‑35 lift off from Baikonur Site 31/6 on September 9?

52%
-31% last 24h

89%
Stable · last 24h
YES if TF1info (tf1info.fr) publishes between September 9, 2026 and September 16, 2026 inclusive at least one newly published, distinct article page in its 'Météo' section whose visible publication timestamp falls in that window and whose headline or main article body contains the string "canicule" (case-insensitive). NO otherwise. TF1info article pages are the primary source accepted, and corroboration from major wire services quoting TF1 or archived snapshots showing the TF1 article page and timestamp is also acceptable. The word appearing only in user comments or unrelated metadata does not count, and if TF1 republishes identical content at the same URL but only changes an "updated" timestamp, count it only if the article's visible "Publié" publication timestamp is inside the window.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 89%, based on 107 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current heat wave trends and the peak season for such alerts, it’s highly likely that TF1info will publish an article mentioning 'canicule' soon enough.

52%
-31% last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h

88%
Stable · last 24h

79%
Stable · last 24h

79%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h
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