Will any metropolitan French department, coastal vigilance zone, or the national map be orange or red for heatwave on September 5?

🤖 Context

YES if, according to the official Météo‑France Vigilance archived map for September 5, 2026, at least one metropolitan French department, any metropolitan coastal vigilance zone, or the metropolitan France national map is shown at orange (level 3) or red (level 4) for heatwave (canicule) at any time on September 5, 2026. Otherwise NO. Only the heatwave hazard counts; other hazards and the separate “Météo des forêts” wildfire product do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 4, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 88%, based on 100 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

88%

Predictions made

100

Credits staked

3,386

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 4, 2026

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 6, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 4, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 88% and NO 12%, based on 100 predictions and 3.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French department, coastal vigilance zone, or the national map be orange or red for heatwave on September 5?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French department, coastal vigilance zone, or the national map be orange or red for heatwave on September 5?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.