France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
15%
Yes
Open questions49
How it turned out393
- Will a "New This Week" film debut at #1 on the France weekend box office chart for Jul 22–26, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 28 - Will a French cyclist win a stage at the 2026 Tour de France by July 26, 2026?No
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 27 - Will any French rider win a stage after Stage 18 in the 2026 Tour de France?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 27 - Will Kylian Mbappé come on as a substitute in at least one France match at the 2026 tournament?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 26 - Will any official Météo‑France station in metropolitan France report a daily maximum temperature of at least 40.0 °C on July 18?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 26 - Will any French department be orange or red for thunderstorms on Sunday, July 26, 2026?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 26 - Will the Gironde fire be reported as over 1,000 hectares before July 24, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 25 - Will one or more French départements be marked 'Red' for heat wave on July 22, 2026 at 12:00 CEST?No
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 22 - Will the National Assembly adopt the bill on protecting children in the final plenary (vote solennel) on July 21?Yes
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 21 - Will a French judoka win a gold medal at the European Open Senior in Sarajevo on July 18–19, 2026?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 20