Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 20This market will resolve to YES if a French judoka wins a gold medal at the European Open Senior Judo Championship in Sarajevo on July 18–19, 2026. It will resolve to NO if no French judoka wins a gold medal at the event.
How markets are built and settled72%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Authoritative event result sources list every gold medallist from the Sarajevo European Open (18–19 July 2026) and the national medal table, and none show a French gold. The IJF results page (official competition results) lists the winners by weight class with no FRA gold medallists; the EJU event report (2026-07-19) names all category winners and the medal table (Germany, Serbia, Georgia, etc.) with no French gold; FranceJudo (2026-07-20) explicitly states that no French judoka appear on the event medal table. Taken together, these published results constitute positive evidence that no French judoka won a gold medal at the Sarajevo European Open on 18–19 July 2026.
Source: ijf.orgSources used to resolve this market
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