Will any official Météo‑France station in metropolitan France report a daily maximum temperature of at least 40.0 °C on July 18?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's official station observations show at least one land-based station in metropolitan France with a reported daily maximum temperature of at least 40.0 °C for the calendar date July 18, 2026 according to Météo‑France. Use the station maxima as published on Météo‑France's official website or in its public station dataset by the resolution time. If Météo‑France publishes no station observations for that date by the resolution time, the market resolves NO.

Key facts

Crowd probability

39%

Predictions made

49

Credits staked

1,390

Comments

1

Opened

Jul 17, 2026

Closes

Jul 17, 2026

Resolved

Jul 26, 2026

Outcome

No