🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 14 · Results Sep 16
Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?
70%
+6% last 24h
609 bets · 13.6K credits1
Details →
PoliticsResults Jul 21
Will the National Assembly adopt the bill on protecting children in the final plenary (vote solennel) on July 21?
91%
Stable · last 24h
📊 673 bettors💎 20.7K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 21🤖 Context
YES if the official vote result published by the Assemblée nationale for the plenary vote solennel held on July 21, 2026 shows the bill was adopted. Adopted means the Assemblée nationale's record lists the bill as 'adopté' or shows more 'Pour' votes than 'Contre'. Otherwise NO. If the Assemblée nationale publishes no official vote record or adopted text dated July 21, 2026 for this bill, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes91%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The Assemblée nationale’s official website contains a page (T.A. n°338) that explicitly states: “Projet de loi, adopté par l'Assemblée nationale ... le 21 juillet 2026.” That page on the assemblee-nationale.fr site is the Assembly’s record indicating the bill was adopted on 21 July 2026. (Contemporary press dispatches in the supplied evidence — Le Monde, AEF, LCP — likewise report the adoption and vote counts, corroborating the official record.)
Source: assemblee-nationale.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 91%
- Predictions made
- 673
- Credits staked
- 20,718
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 20, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 21, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 21, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- assemblee-nationale.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 3 💎
oh, you bet they'll adopt it. protecting kids? that's a no-brainer! 🤷♂️
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