📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will François Hollande publicly declare he is a candidate for the 2027 French presidential election?
37%
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Details →2027 French presidential election
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?
First round on April 18, 2027, runoff on May 2: the French government set the dates on July 1, 2026. To get on the ballot, a candidate needs 500 endorsements from elected officials across at least 30 départements or overseas territories. If nobody wins an absolute majority in the first round, the top two face off two weeks later. Got a read on who makes the runoff and who ends up in the Élysée? On Clutch you predict YES or NO for free and see what the crowd thinks, live.
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Biggest miss
Will Marine Le Pen's appeal to the Cour de Cassation suspend her electronic monitoring sentence before the 2027 presidential election?
NoThe crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will François Hollande publicly declare he is a candidate for the 2027 French presidential election?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
37%
Yes
Open questions22
📊Politics·PollsCloses Nov 2
Poll: Will Édouard Philippe outpoll Jean‑Luc Mélenchon on 3 Nov?
23%
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Details →📊Politics·PollsCloses Nov 5
Poll: will Raphaël Glucksmann poll ahead of Édouard Philippe in the next French presidential poll published by Nov 6?
26%
-6% last 24h
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📊Politics·PollsCloses Oct 30
Poll: Will Raphaël Glucksmann poll ahead of Édouard Philippe in the most recent national poll?
28%
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Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will Marine Le Pen publicly accept Éric Ciotti’s 'pacte d'alliance' with the Union des droites for the 2027 presidential campaign?
37%
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803 bets · 16K credits7
Details →- Will Gabriel Attal poll ahead of Éric Zemmour on Oct 28?Closes Oct 27699 predictions73%Yes
- Will Les Écologistes formally endorse Jean‑Luc Mélenchon for the 2027 presidential election?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1626 predictions36%Yes
- Will the PT announce it is ending its national alliance with Morena for the 2027 election?Closes Mar 31 · Results Apr 1410 predictions71%Yes
- Will Édouard Philippe publicly withdraw his candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1407 predictions9%Yes
- Will Tatiana Clouthier formally register as a candidate for Governor of Nuevo León?Closes Feb 1404 predictions83%Yes
- Will Morena and the PT publicly announce they will run together as a national coalition for the 2027 presidential election?Closes Jan 1402 predictions38%Yes
- Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar be formally nominated as Morena's candidate for Governor of Chihuahua?Closes Mar 31 · Results Apr 1401 predictions60%Yes
How it turned out20
- Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon poll ahead of Édouard Philippe on October 25?Yes
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 24 - Will Édouard Philippe poll ahead of Jean‑Luc Mélenchon in the latest poll?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 21 - Will Édouard Philippe poll ahead of Jean‑Luc Mélenchon on Oct 16?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 15 - Will Mélenchon poll higher than Édouard Philippe on October 13?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 12 - Will any candidate get strictly more than 50% of valid votes in the first round of the social‑democratic primary to pick the left's candidate for France's 2027 presidential election?No
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 10 - Will Marine Tondelier poll ahead of Fabien Roussel on October 10?Yes
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 9 - Will Gabriel Attal be ahead of Bruno Retailleau on October 7?Yes
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 6 - Will Édouard Philippe poll ahead of Jean‑Luc Mélenchon in the most recent French poll?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon poll ahead of Édouard Philippe?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 27 - Will Raphaël Glucksmann poll ahead of Gabriel Attal on September 25?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 24
Questions about 2027 French presidential election
When is the 2027 French presidential election?
The first round is on Sunday, April 18, 2027 and the second round on Sunday, May 2, 2027. The government announced these dates on July 1, 2026.
How does the French presidential election work?
The president is elected by direct universal suffrage for five years. A candidate who wins an absolute majority of votes cast in the first round is elected; otherwise the two leading candidates face off in a second round two weeks later. The Constitution limits a president to two consecutive terms.
How do you become a candidate for the French presidency?
You need at least 500 endorsements ("parrainages") from elected officials such as mayors, MPs, senators or MEPs. They must come from at least 30 départements or overseas territories, with no more than one tenth from the same one. The Constitutional Council checks them and publishes the official list of candidates.
Who can vote in the French presidential election?
French citizens aged 18 or over who hold their civil and political rights and are registered on an electoral list. French citizens living abroad can vote through a consular list. Other EU citizens living in France cannot vote in this election.