Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon poll ahead of Édouard Philippe?

🤖 Context

YES if, in the topmost (most recent) poll row of the Main voting-intention table on the Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election" as it appears no later than 00:00 CEST on 28 September 2026, the numeric percentage shown for Jean‑Luc Mélenchon is strictly greater than the numeric percentage shown for Édouard Philippe. Ties, blanks, or non-numeric entries for either candidate resolve NO. Use the percentages exactly as printed in that table.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 169 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

76%

Predictions made

169

Credits staked

5,435

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 13, 2026

Closes

Sep 27, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 27, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 27, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 76% and NO 24%, based on 169 predictions and 5.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon poll ahead of Édouard Philippe?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon poll ahead of Édouard Philippe?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.