Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

70%
+1% last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Les Écologistes issues an explicit party-level endorsement of Jean‑Luc Mélenchon as its candidate for the 2027 presidential election, evidenced by a party press release on the party's official website, an official statement or vote of the party's national council, or an equivalent announcement via the party's official channels. The endorsement must occur no later than October 31, 2026. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 31 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt Les Écologistes will officially support Mélenchon. They tend to be cautious and may not unify behind him so close to the election.

70%
+1% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

21%
Stable · last 24h

23%
Stable · last 24h
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