Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

12%
Stable · last 24h

83%
+25% last 24h
YES if two or more independent national or regional news outlets report between October 7, 2026 and no later than January 31, 2027 that Tatiana Clouthier has formally filed or been registered as a candidate or pre-candidate for Governor of Nuevo León for the 2027 election, otherwise NO. • Formal filing counts: filing official candidacy paperwork with the relevant electoral authority, or an official registration or public announcement by Morena. • Statements of intent, exploratory activity, social-media-only posts without an on-the-record filing, or anonymous-source rumors do not count. • Source: Two or more independent national or regional news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Feb 1, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Feb 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 155 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledClouthier has strong political backing and a clear path if she officially registers, which is very likely given her prominence. Expect a formal announcement soon.

12%
Stable · last 24h

60%
-9% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

11%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
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