Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon poll ahead of Édouard Philippe on October 25?

🤖 Context

YES if the numeric percentage reported for Jean‑Luc Mélenchon is strictly greater than the numeric percentage reported for Édouard Philippe in the single poll that occupies the topmost (most recent) row of the Main voting‑intention table on the Wikipedia page 'Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election' as that page appears no later than 00:00 on October 25, 2026 (UTC+02:00). Otherwise NO. • The topmost row must be a single poll row showing per‑candidate numeric percentages. Ties resolve NO. If either candidate is shown as '-' or is absent, resolve NO. • Preferred evidence is the pollster's official published figures or major French news coverage. The Wikipedia table may be used as a pointer but is not the only admissible proof. • Source: Wikipedia — page 'Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election'.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 3216 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

75%

Predictions made

3,216

Credits staked

130,786

Comments

52

Opened

Oct 10, 2026

Closes

Oct 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 24, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 24, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 75% and NO 25%, based on 3216 predictions and 130.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon poll ahead of Édouard Philippe on October 25?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon poll ahead of Édouard Philippe on October 25?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.