Will Édouard Philippe poll ahead of Jean‑Luc Mélenchon in the latest poll?

🤖 Context

YES if, in the most recent poll listed in the "Recent polls" table on the Wikipedia page 'Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election' as that page appears no later than 00:00 CEST on 22 October 2026, the published percentage for Édouard Philippe is strictly greater than the published percentage for Jean‑Luc Mélenchon. Otherwise NO. • "Most recent poll" means the topmost row of that table as it appears at the cutoff. If that row does not list numeric percentages for both candidates, use the most recent earlier row on the same page that does. • Equal numeric values (after the poll's own published rounding or formatting) count as not ahead (NO). • Source: Wikipedia — page 'Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election', table 'Recent polls'.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 27%, based on 796 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

27%

Predictions made

796

Credits staked

29,085

Comments

7

Opened

Oct 7, 2026

Closes

Oct 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 21, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 27% and NO 73%, based on 796 predictions and 29.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Édouard Philippe poll ahead of Jean‑Luc Mélenchon in the latest poll?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Édouard Philippe poll ahead of Jean‑Luc Mélenchon in the latest poll?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.