Will Mélenchon poll higher than Édouard Philippe on October 13?

🤖 Context

YES if the most recent national first-round voting-intention poll row shown on Wikipedia's 'Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election' page as it appears at 00:00 on October 13, 2026 shows Jean‑Luc Mélenchon's headline percentage is strictly greater than Édouard Philippe's, otherwise NO. • Use the pollster's published headline percentage for each candidate when available. • If the most recent poll row omits a candidate's headline percentage (a dash) or does not show a single headline percentage for one or both candidates, resolve NO. • Source: Wikipedia — Opinion_polling_for_the_2027_French_presidential_election.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 435 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

435

Credits staked

13,396

Comments

7

Opened

Sep 28, 2026

Closes

Oct 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 12, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 435 predictions and 13.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Mélenchon poll higher than Édouard Philippe on October 13?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Mélenchon poll higher than Édouard Philippe on October 13?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.