Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?

53%
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51%
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YES if the Swedish Riksdag holds a vote on or after November 3, 2026 and no later than November 17, 2026 that formally appoints or confirms Ulf Kristersson as Prime Minister, otherwise NO. • Only votes held on or after November 3, 2026 count. • A formal on-the-record announcement by the Speaker of the Riksdag (Talman) or the Riksdag's official record counts. Credible reporting by two or more independent authoritative news outlets also counts. • Source: Swedish Riksdag or independent news agencies such as Reuters, AP, dpa, Swedish Radio/TT.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spiegel.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 51%, based on 471 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
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