Will the cyberattack on refrigeration units at six US military bases be publicly attributed to a named foreign state?

🤖 Context

YES if, between 10:46 UTC on October 30, 2026 and no later than November 13, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense or another on-the-record U.S. federal official publicly states that a specifically named foreign state was responsible for the reported cyberattack on refrigeration units at six U.S. military bases, or if two or more independent authoritative news outlets report an on-the-record DoD attribution that names a state. Otherwise NO. • The statement must name a specific country; references only to a "nation-state actor" do not count. • Statements made before 10:46 UTC on October 30, 2026 do not count. • Source: U.S. Department of Defense or independent authoritative news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lavanguardia.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 334 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

33%

Predictions made

334

Credits staked

9,929

Comments

2

Opened

Oct 30, 2026

Closes

Nov 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 14, 2026

Resolution source

lavanguardia.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 33% and NO 67%, based on 334 predictions and 9.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against lavanguardia.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the cyberattack on refrigeration units at six US military bases be publicly attributed to a named foreign state?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the cyberattack on refrigeration units at six US military bases be publicly attributed to a named foreign state?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.