Will the 5 November hoax bomb threats against European airlines and airports be publicly attributed to Russia?

🤖 Context

YES if the UK government issues an explicit on-the-record public statement that attributes the 5 November 2026 hoax bomb threats affecting European airlines and airports to Russia no later than 21:46 on November 12, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Only statements issued on or after November 5, 2026 count. • The statement must explicitly use the word "Russia" or "Russian" or refer to the "Russian state" or a clearly Russia-linked actor. • Source: an official UK government statement or reporting by two or more independent reputable news organisations.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 252 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

252

Credits staked

7,958

Comments

4

Opened

Nov 5, 2026

Closes

Nov 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 13, 2026

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 28% and NO 72%, based on 252 predictions and 8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the 5 November hoax bomb threats against European airlines and airports be publicly attributed to Russia?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the 5 November hoax bomb threats against European airlines and airports be publicly attributed to Russia?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.