Will Israel and Hamas publicly announce a mutual ceasefire covering Gaza and adjacent areas?

🤖 Context

YES if Israel and Hamas publicly announce a mutual ceasefire (a reciprocal halt to offensive military operations) covering Gaza and adjacent areas no later than November 15, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Only announcements made on or after 21:59:52 UTC on November 1, 2026 count; earlier occurrences do not count. • Counts if both parties make on‑the‑record public statements by a named Israeli government official and a named Hamas official or recognised representative that they have agreed to a mutual ceasefire. • Or counts if at least two independent, authoritative news organisations report that Israel and Hamas have publicly announced such a mutual ceasefire. • Source: BBC.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 10%, based on 441 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

10%

Predictions made

441

Credits staked

15,406

Comments

10

Opened

Nov 1, 2026

Closes

Nov 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 16, 2026

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 10% and NO 90%, based on 441 predictions and 15.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Israel and Hamas publicly announce a mutual ceasefire covering Gaza and adjacent areas?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Israel and Hamas publicly announce a mutual ceasefire covering Gaza and adjacent areas?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.