Will the temporary ceasefire that allowed Oleshky's evacuation be extended by both sides?

🤖 Context

YES if, between November 1, 2026 and no later than November 15, 2026, both Ukrainian authorities and Russian forces publicly announce and implement an extension of the temporary ceasefire that covers Oleshky (or the same evacuation corridor) and that extension is reported by at least two independent reputable news organisations. Otherwise NO. • The extension must specifically cover Oleshky or the same evacuation corridor. • Announcements must be public and show implementation by both sides. Claims reported by only one side, reports from social media or unnamed sources do not count. • Source: Reuters, Associated Press, BBC; Ukrainian government; Russian Defence Ministry.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 386 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

38%

Predictions made

386

Credits staked

13,014

Comments

5

Opened

Nov 1, 2026

Closes

Nov 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 16, 2026

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 38% and NO 62%, based on 386 predictions and 13K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the temporary ceasefire that allowed Oleshky's evacuation be extended by both sides?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the temporary ceasefire that allowed Oleshky's evacuation be extended by both sides?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.