Will Russia and Ukraine both publicly announce a bilateral, nationwide ceasefire?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than 23:59 UTC on November 22, 2026, both the Government of the Russian Federation and the Government of Ukraine each publicly issue explicit, on-the-record statements that they have agreed to a bilateral ceasefire that applies nationwide, and those matching confirmations are reported by two or more independent authoritative news outlets. Otherwise NO. • Each confirmation must be an explicit public, on-the-record statement from the governments, for example an official press release or a statement from the Kremlin/presidency and the Office of the President of Ukraine, or their foreign ministry or defense ministry. • Reports must show matching confirmations from both governments and be published by two or more independent authoritative news outlets. • Announcements by only one side, reports of only a local or temporary truce, mere statements of intent or negotiation, or only third-party claims without both governments' on-the-record confirmations resolve NO. • Source: Associated Press.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 9%, based on 317 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

9%

Predictions made

317

Credits staked

11,362

Comments

4

Opened

Nov 6, 2026

Closes

Nov 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 22, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 22, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 9% and NO 91%, based on 317 predictions and 11.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Russia and Ukraine both publicly announce a bilateral, nationwide ceasefire?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Russia and Ukraine both publicly announce a bilateral, nationwide ceasefire?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.