📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will Sumar formally announce and endorse Irene Montero as its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?
33%
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594 bets · 17.6K credits6
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Live prediction markets about Spain. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
63%
crowd accuracy
169/268
right calls
20
open questions
Biggest miss
Will a Spanish man be one of the men's singles semifinalists at the 2026 US Open?
NoThe crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Sumar formally announce and endorse Irene Montero as its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 21
33%
Yes
Open questions20
📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will the Sindicato de Inquilinas call a nationwide general strike in Spain?
46%
Stable · last 24h
528 bets · 15.6K credits4
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Oct 30 · Results Nov 1
Will Spain carry out any official repatriations to Morocco of migrants who entered Ceuta around July 30–31?
71%
Stable · last 24h
471 bets · 16.6K credits5
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📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 24 · Results Nov 26
Will Félix Bolaños get access to the full case file for his complaint against judge Juan Carlos Peinado?
49%
Stable · last 24h
471 bets · 11.6K credits3
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 29 · Results Nov 30
Will Podemos formally announce it will join the Frente Amplio list that names Ada Colau as the coalition's candidate?
46%
Stable · last 24h
443 bets · 8.5K credits1
Details →- Will Carles Puigdemont be granted amnesty?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1443 predictions40%Yes
- Will Sumar adopt open primaries to choose its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1430 predictions24%Yes
- Will a public ICPEN report on the global influencer-advertising sweep include country-level results for Spain?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1424 predictions22%Yes
- Will Jordi Turull be granted amnesty by the Spanish Constitutional Court?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1421 predictions37%Yes
- Plex: Última partida: Will any contestants be publicly named?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1418 predictions46%Yes
- Will the Mossos d'Esquadra file a court request to trace online communications to identify who called or organized the Barcelona protest that led to disturbances?Closes Oct 29 · Results Oct 30143 predictions20%Yes
- Will the identities of the 163,020 people covered by the 'ley de nietos' be submitted to Spain's Supreme Court?Closes Oct 28 · Results Oct 2982 predictions84%Yes
How it turned out269
- Did Spain record a new all-time high temperature during the 2026 fourth heatwave?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 25 - Will at least one area in Spain be on AEMET 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' for rain on 24 August?Yes
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 25 - Will Spain google Daniella Bustamante more than Jason Statham on August 24?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 25 - Will at least 265 Renfe long-distance trains be 5+ minutes late on August 24?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 25 - Will any area in Spain have an orange or red thunderstorm warning on August 23?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 24 - Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red rain warning on August 22?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 23 - Will Spain Google daniella bustamante more than la fiera on August 22?No
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 23 - Will any area in Spain be on AEMET aviso naranja or rojo for thunderstorms on August 21?No
The crowd was 81% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 22 - Will Spain google la fiera more than daniella bustamante on August 21?Yes
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 22 - Will Spain google la fiera more than bruce willis on August 20?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 21