Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red rain warning on August 22?

🤖 Context

YES if Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET)'s archived Meteoalerta warnings for 22 August 2026 show at least one named Spanish área with an orange or red aviso specifically for 'lluvias' (rain) at any time during that local date, otherwise NO. Composite warnings that explicitly include 'lluvias' together with another hazard (for example 'lluvias y tormentas') at orange or red count, but warnings that apply only to maritime zones outside Spanish territorial waters or to territories not in Spain do not count. A warning issued and later withdrawn on 22 August 2026 still counts if it appears in AEMET's archived warnings for that date.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 12 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

72%

Predictions made

12

Credits staked

345

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 21, 2026

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 23, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 72% and NO 28%, based on 12 predictions and 345 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red rain warning on August 22?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one area in Spain be under an orange or red rain warning on August 22?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.