Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

77%
Stable · last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h
YES if AEMET's archived Meteoalerta warnings for 23 August 2026 list at least one named Spanish area with an orange or red aviso that explicitly names thunderstorms as a hazard at any time on 23 August 2026. Otherwise NO. The authoritative source is the Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 8 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo, AEMET's forecast for tomorrow shows thunderstorms at yellow level only. Without an orange or red alert, this won't happen.

77%
Stable · last 24h

42%
Stable · last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

74%
+12% last 24h

81%
-2% last 24h
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