Will Sumar formally announce and endorse Irene Montero as its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than December 31, 2026, Sumar's national leadership or Sumar's official communications publicly announce or endorse Irene Montero as Sumar's official candidate for the 2027 general election. An official Sumar announcement resolves this market, but reporting by at least two independent Spanish national news outlets (for example EFE, El País, RTVE) that Sumar has formally nominated or endorsed her is also sufficient. Otherwise NO, including if Irene Montero declares a candidacy but Sumar does not formally nominate or endorse her by the deadline.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 36%, based on 552 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

36%

Predictions made

552

Credits staked

15,749

Comments

4

Opened

Sep 20, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 36% and NO 64%, based on 552 predictions and 15.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Sumar formally announce and endorse Irene Montero as its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Sumar formally announce and endorse Irene Montero as its candidate for Spain's 2027 general election?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.