Did Spain record a new all-time high temperature during the 2026 fourth heatwave?

🤖 Context

YES if the Spanish national meteorological agency AEMET publishes an explicit official confirmation no later than August 20, 2026 that a new all-time national maximum temperature for Spain was confirmed and that the recorded value occurred during the 2026 'fourth heatwave'. The confirmation must be an AEMET statement, bulletin, or press release on AEMET's official channels. If AEMET later explicitly retracts that confirmation before August 20, 2026, the market resolves NO. If AEMET does not publish such a confirmation by that date, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 71%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

71%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

10

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 14, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 21, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 71% and NO 29%, based on 1 prediction and 10 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Did Spain record a new all-time high temperature during the 2026 fourth heatwave?” real-money betting?

No. “Did Spain record a new all-time high temperature during the 2026 fourth heatwave?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.