Will any area in Spain be on AEMET aviso naranja or rojo for thunderstorms on August 21?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's Meteoalerta archived warnings for 21 August 2026 show at least one Spanish area assigned aviso nivel naranja or aviso rojo specifically for thunderstorms ('tormentas') at any time that day, otherwise NO. If a single aviso lists multiple hazards it only counts for thunderstorms if the aviso's hazard field or the warning text explicitly mentions thunderstorms. A warning that reached naranja or rojo and was later lowered the same calendar day still counts, and if AEMET's public archive lacks hazard text identifying 'tormentas', contemporaneous reporting quoting AEMET may be used to determine the outcome.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 87%, based on 24 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

87%

Predictions made

24

Credits staked

752

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Aug 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 22, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 87% and NO 13%, based on 24 predictions and 752 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain be on AEMET aviso naranja or rojo for thunderstorms on August 21?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain be on AEMET aviso naranja or rojo for thunderstorms on August 21?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.