Will Spain carry out any official repatriations to Morocco of migrants who entered Ceuta around July 30–31?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than October 31, 2026 Spanish authorities have carried out one or more official repatriation operations removing migrants from Ceuta to Morocco, and there is either an official statement from the Government of Spain or the relevant ministries confirming the repatriation(s), or credible reporting by at least two independent mainstream news outlets that Spanish authorities carried out repatriation(s) from Ceuta to Morocco and identify that at least some of those repatriated were among the group that entered Ceuta around July 30–31, 2026. "Official repatriation" means a deportation or transfer coordinated and executed by Spanish authorities, such as an air or sea transfer or a formal deportation. Voluntary returns organised only by NGOs or unverified social media claims without corroboration by two outlets do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 34%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

34%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

15

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 12, 2026

Closes

Oct 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 1, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 34% and NO 66%, based on 2 predictions and 15 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Spain carry out any official repatriations to Morocco of migrants who entered Ceuta around July 30–31?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Spain carry out any official repatriations to Morocco of migrants who entered Ceuta around July 30–31?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.