Will at least one area in Spain be on AEMET 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' for rain on 24 August?

🤖 Context

YES if, according to the official Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) Meteoalerta archived 'Avisos' for 24 August 2026, at least one named Spanish area is shown at level 'naranja' (orange) or 'rojo' (red) for the rain (lluvias) hazard at any time during 24 August 2026. Otherwise NO. Only the colour level explicitly associated with the rain hazard on AEMET's warnings counts, and any named sub‑regional or municipal area listed by AEMET counts as an 'area'.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 8 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

44%

Predictions made

8

Credits staked

250

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 23, 2026

Closes

Aug 23, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 25, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 44% and NO 56%, based on 8 predictions and 250 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one area in Spain be on AEMET 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' for rain on 24 August?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one area in Spain be on AEMET 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' for rain on 24 August?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.