Will the birth of a child to Lady Gaga and Michael Polansky be publicly confirmed?

70%
-11% last 24h

21%
Stable · last 24h
YES if ICPEN publishes on its official website or in an ICPEN press release a public report of the referenced global sweep that includes explicit country-level results for Spain no later than October 31, 2026. Otherwise NO. • The publication must name "Spain" or "España" and present Spain-specific findings, figures, or a clearly labelled Spain section. • Corroborating coverage by major Spanish national media or a statement from the Ministerio de Consumo may be used as evidence. • Source: ICPEN.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against huffingtonpost.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 21%, based on 417 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and the clear requirements, I don't see ICPEN providing a report specific to Spain by the deadline. They typically don't get that granular in their releases.

70%
-11% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

86%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

20%
+1% last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
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