France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
74%
crowd accuracy
289/389
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 7
16%
Yes
Open questions49
- Will "Le fondateur" be in Edistat's top 5 on November 6?Results Nov 6119 predictions36%Yes
- Will France’s government complete the migration of its National Health platform to a sovereign cloud by end of 2026?Results Jan 1547 predictions65%Yes
- Will France complete the migration of at least 2 million government workstations to Linux by end of 2026?Results Jan 119 predictions65%Yes
- Will France’s year‑long 200th anniversary of photography launch in autumn 2026 with an exhibition at the Grand Palais?Results Jan 114 predictions55%Yes
- Will France’s economy avoid a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by end of Q3 2026?Results Nov 212 predictions49%Yes
- Will France’s 2027 budget bill include fiscal reform enabling agent‑AI stablecoin payments by the end of 2026?Results Jan 112 predictions40%Yes
- Will France’s Lucy photonic quantum computer perform its first public demonstration by end of 2026?Results Jan 19 predictions39%Yes
- Will France’s Health Data Hub be fully migrated off Microsoft Azure by end of 2026?Results Jan 18 predictions48%Yes
- Will France’s new €1 billion quantum computing investment result in a working universal quantum prototype by end of 2027?Results Jan 168 predictions35%Yes
- Will AMD-powered 'Alice Recoque' supercomputer enter operation in France before end of 2026?Results Jan 167 predictions54%Yes
- Will France maintain its 2026 GDP growth forecast at or above 0.8% in the autumn macroeconomic update?Results Dec 16 predictions55%Yes
- Will microrobots magnéto‑plasmoniques printed in 4D be demonstrated functioning under infrared and magnetic control in a public scientific demonstration in France by end of 2026?Results Jan 16 predictions31%Yes
How it turned out389
- Nations League: will France beat Belgium on 5 October?Yes
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 6 - Nations League: Will France kick off their match against Belgium on October 5?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 6 - Will at least one metropolitan French département, a coastal zone (littoral), or 'FRANCE' be on orange or red vigilance for thunderstorms on October 5?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 6 - Will any metropolitan French département be on orange or red for thunderstorms on October 4?No
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 5 - Will any mainland French département, coastal zone, or the national summary be at Météo‑France orange or red for rain‑flooding on 3 October 2026?Yes
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 4 - Will Édouard Philippe poll ahead of Jean‑Luc Mélenchon in the most recent French poll?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will at least 400 French high schools be closed on October 2?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Nations League: will France vs Italy at the Stade de France on October 2 sell out?Yes
The crowd was 96% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Nations League: Will Zinédine Zidane be listed as France head coach for France v Italy on October 2?Yes
The crowd was 99% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will any location in metropolitan France record at least 50.0 mm of precipitation in a 24-hour period?Yes
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2