🎥People·CreatorsCloses Nov 1
Will Burger King launch a U.S. 'Whopper Guarantee' ad campaign naming Rhett and Link?
85%
Stable · last 24h
427 bets · 7.9K credits4
Details →United States
Live prediction markets about United States. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
65%
crowd accuracy
106/163
right calls
20
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the US and China publicly announce an agreement to create a formal bilateral AI incident‑alert mechanism?
YesThe crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Burger King launch a U.S. 'Whopper Guarantee' ad campaign naming Rhett and Link?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 16
85%
Yes
Open questions20
📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 1 · Results Nov 15
Will the USPS's new ballot-handling rules be stopped nationwide?
79%
Stable · last 24h
422 bets · 7K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 3 · Results Nov 4
Will ICE officers be barred from being stationed at one or more polling sites in Denver?
78%
Stable · last 24h
422 bets · 8.9K credits1
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📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 3 · Results Nov 4
Will Donald J. Trump speak in person at campaign events in at least 17 U.S. states?
62%
Stable · last 24h
417 bets · 7.3K credits1
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Dec 31 · Results Jan 1
Will the HHS directive on medical care for transgender youth be blocked nationwide?
45%
Stable · last 24h
409 bets · 7.3K credits1
Details →- Will formal CUSMA negotiations be announced as resuming in a joint Canada–U.S. statement?Closes Oct 28 · Results Nov 1408 predictions73%Yes
- Will Ontario allow the general sale of U.S.-made alcoholic beverages across its retail system?Closes Dec 1404 predictions80%Yes
- Will Canada publicly declare U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra persona non grata or ask him to leave?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1403 predictions18%Yes
- Will Quebec resume selling U.S. alcoholic beverages in its government liquor stores?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1403 predictions26%Yes
- Will Canada and the US publicly announce a binding bilateral deal that resolves their outstanding tariffs?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1403 predictions34%Yes
- Will the U.S. cut its 50% tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum to 25% or less?Closes Nov 16402 predictions20%Yes
- Will the US, Russia and Ukraine hold expert-level trilateral talks?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1282 predictions16%Yes
How it turned out163
- Will the U.S. Google more video games than health on August 7?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 8 - Will any entertainment, celebrity or gaming topic be more googled than Scott Eastwood in the United States on August 7?Yes
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 8 - Will the U.S. open a trade investigation into EU fines on Google or Apple by August 7, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 7 - Will the United States and Iran publicly announce a mutual ceasefire before Aug 7, 2026?No
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 7 - Will the United States Google more tech than travel trending topics on August 6?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 7 - Will the United States Google more "video games" than "the weather" on August 5?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 6 - Will a rider from the USA, Canada, Mexico, or Cuba win Stage 4, the day‑four individual time trial, of the Tour de France Femmes?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 5 - Will the US google 'politics' more than 'the weather' on August 4?Yes
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 5 - Will DARPA’s Robotic Servicing of Geosynchronous Satellite (RSGS) demonstrator successfully launch by July 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 2 - Will the full signed U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement be published on state.gov by August 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 1