Google

OrganizationBig Tech

Live prediction markets about Google. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.

Crowd track record

68%

of calls the crowd got right

markets settled

The crowd called 34 of 50 settled markets correctly.

Open questions

💻TechResults Jan 1

Will the Blackstone‑Google TPU cloud venture be serving enterprise customers by December 31, 2026?

44%

Stable · last 24h

10 bets · 76 credits0

Details →

💻TechResults Jan 5

Will NVIDIA’s Vera CPU be adopted by a major cloud provider by the end of 2026?

27%

Stable · last 24h

18 bets · 167 credits0

Details →

🤖Tech·AICloses Oct 15 · Results Oct 16

Will Gemini 3.5 Transcribe be available in stable Chrome to fill web text fields?

80%

Stable · last 24h

3 bets · 109 credits1

Details →

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🤖Tech·AICloses Oct 2

Will a model called "Gemini 3.5 Pro" be publicly released by Google?

76%

Stable · last 24h

128 bets · 2.6K credits1

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Oct 1 · Results Oct 16

Will the Pixel 11 Pro’s HiLight let you compose or send messages (SMS, RCS, or Google Messages)?

30%

+1% last 24h

70 bets · 1.6K credits1

Details →

🤖Tech·AICloses Oct 1

Will Android TVs and vehicles with Google built‑in get exact calendar dates to switch to Gemini-only?

36%

Stable · last 24h

237 bets · 4.3K credits1

Details →

🤖Tech·AICloses Oct 1

Will another 'Gemini Robotics 2.0' model be publicly available?

42%

Stable · last 24h

201 bets · 4K credits2

Details →

💻TechCloses Oct 1 · Results Oct 2

Will Google launch its AI-powered audio glasses in the U.S. by end of Q3 2026?

44%

Stable · last 24h

4 bets · 62 credits0

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Sep 30 · Results Oct 1

Will Google let eligible U.S. college students claim one free year of Google AI Pro?

50%

Stable · last 24h

14 bets · 520 credits1

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Sep 30 · Results Oct 1

Will Android developer verification be active in Brazil, Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand on September 30?

74%

+1% last 24h

159 bets · 2.8K credits1

Details →

💻TechResults Dec 31

Will Google’s Gemini-powered audio smart glasses ship before December 31, 2026?

76%

Stable · last 24h

38 bets · 747 credits0

Details →

💻TechCloses Sep 29 · Results Oct 1

Will Alphabet complete its $80 billion stock sale to scale AI infrastructure by end of Q3 2026?

69%

Stable · last 24h

4 bets · 61 credits0

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Sep 16

Will the Google Messages RCS connection error affecting some Galaxy users and people switching carriers be fixed?

20%

Stable · last 24h

6 bets · 103 credits1

Details →

🎥People·CreatorsCloses Sep 16

Will YouTube offer creators $1,000,000+ to keep their content?

55%

Stable · last 24h

10 bets · 120 credits1

Details →

🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 16

Will Google release the next Gemini Flash model?

81%

-1% last 24h

588 bets · 12.6K credits3

Details →

🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 14

Will Google's text market share on OpenRouter be above 18.8%?

83%

Stable · last 24h

80 bets · 2.1K credits1

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Sep 12 · Results Sep 13

Will Pixel 10 (non‑a) phones get "Battery usage summaries" in the US?

65%

Stable · last 24h

75 bets · 3.8K credits1

Details →

🤖Tech·AICloses Sep 11

Will Gemini 3.7 Flash be available in the regular Gemini chat for individual U.S. users with standard (non‑Pro, non‑Ultra) accounts?

30%

-1% last 24h

100 bets · 5.2K credits1

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Sep 11

Will an Android 17 QPR2 Beta 4 system image or official OTA be published for any Pixel 11-series model?

32%

Stable · last 24h

36 bets · 2.2K credits1

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsAwaiting result

Will Pixel 10 trade‑in credits removed when upgrading to Pixel 11 be publicly acknowledged and promised to be restored?

20%

Stable · last 24h

13 bets · 154 credits1

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsResults Oct 1

Will the Pixel Watch 5 get Blood Pressure and Insulin Resistance Trends in the US?

59%

Stable · last 24h

5 bets · 127 credits1

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsResults Oct 1

Will Pixel Buds Pro 2 or Pixel Buds 2a get a stable update that improves noise cancellation?

80%

Stable · last 24h

94 bets · 4.6K credits2

Details →

📱Tech·GadgetsResults Oct 1

Will Pixel Buds Pro 2 or Pixel Buds 2a get an official firmware release describing "dynamic ANC"?

74%

Stable · last 24h

163 bets · 3.2K credits1

Details →

How it turned out

Will Google start removing Google Assistant from Android phones, tablets, Wear OS watches, headphones, or Android Auto on September 4?Yes

The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 9

Will a Pixel 11 update be released with a September 2026 security patch?Yes

The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.

Sep 8

Will Google have over 21% market share?No

The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 7

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?No

The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 4

Will 'Earth AI' be re-enabled and made publicly available no later than August 31?No

The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 4

Will Google’s AI‑powered ‘Universal Cart’ feature become globally available in Search by August 31, 2026?No

The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.

Sep 3

Will the "Trouble connecting. Awaiting retry." RCS error in Google Messages be fixed?No

The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 3

Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab?Yes

The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 3

Will Google officially announce or list a consumer product called "Pixel Tag"?Yes

The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 1

Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.

Sep 1

Will Google's AI Studio Android app be available to download in the US Play Store?No

The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 31

Will any Google Pixel 11-series model be available for immediate purchase on Aug 20?Yes

The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 21

Will the Google Pixel 11 Pro Fold be available to buy in the US on August 20?Yes

The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 20

Will a major consumer platform experience a significant cyberattack before August 15, 2026?No

The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 19

Will the Pixel 11 Pro list "HiLight active" as a feature on August 12?No

The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 18

Will the US Google more video games than the weather on August 11?No

The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 14

Will France Google politics more than the weather on August 11?No

The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 14

Will anyone be more googled than Antonio Carmona on August 10?No

The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 14

Will any entertainment, celebrity and gaming topic in France be more googled than Nagui on August 10 in Google searches?Yes

The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 14

Will a formal investigation into EU fines on U.S. tech companies be opened by Aug 10, 2026?No

The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 14

Will a consumer product called 'Pixel 11' be announced?Yes

The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 13

Will the Pixel feature 'Pixel Glow' be named 'HiLight'?Yes

The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 13

Will a product called "Pixel Tag" be announced during the Made by Google livestream on August 12?Yes

The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 13

Will a product called 'Pixel Watch 5' be announced during the Made by Google livestream?Yes

The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 13

Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?Yes

The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 13

Will the base Pixel 11 start at $899 or less in the US on August 12?Yes

The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 13

Will Google hold a Pixel hardware event on August 12, 2026 and publish a livestream or replay on its official channels?Yes

The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 13

Will any non‑Pro Pixel 11 be listed with 12 GB of RAM on August 12?Yes

The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 12

Will Google hold a Pixel hardware event on August 12, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 12

Will the base Pixel 11 include a 'HiLight'/'Pixel Glow' rear LED at its August 12 launch?No

The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 12

Will a new product named 'Pixel 10' be announced at Google's August 12, 2026 Pixel event?No

The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 12

At the Pixel 11 launch, will the 256GB model be priced at €999 in at least one European market?Yes

The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 12

Will the Pixel 11 be announced as available on August 20 at the August 12 event?Yes

The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 12

Will Spain Google more politics than the weather on August 11?Yes

The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 12

Will the US Google more politics than the weather on August 10?Yes

The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 12

Will Spain Google-search the weather more than politics on August 10?Yes

The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 12

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?No

The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 10

Will Alphabet's company market cap be bigger than NVIDIA's?No

The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 10

Will any entertainment, celebrity, or gaming topic get more Google searches than Paloma Cuevas in Mexico on August 9?Yes

The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 10

Will France Google the weather more than video games on August 9?Yes

The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 10

Will Spain Google the weather more than politics on August 8?Yes

The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 9

Will France Google-search more video games than the weather on August 8?No

The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 9

Will any Entertainment, Celebrity and Gaming topic be googled more than Angélica Rivera in Mexico on August 7?No

The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 8

Will the U.S. Google more video games than health on August 7?Yes

The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 8

Will France make more Google searches for politics than for the weather on August 7?Yes

The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 8

Will any entertainment, celebrity or gaming topic be more googled than Scott Eastwood in the United States on August 7?Yes

The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 8

Will Spain search for more video games than health on Google on August 7?Yes

The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 8

Will the U.S. open a trade investigation into EU fines on Google or Apple by August 7, 2026?Yes

The crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 7

Will the United States Google more tech than travel trending topics on August 6?No

The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 7

Will the United States Google more "video games" than "the weather" on August 5?No

The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 6

Crowd track record

Open questions

Will the Blackstone‑Google TPU cloud venture be serving enterprise customers by December 31, 2026?

Will NVIDIA’s Vera CPU be adopted by a major cloud provider by the end of 2026?

Will Gemini 3.5 Transcribe be available in stable Chrome to fill web text fields?

The full experience is on mobile

Will a model called "Gemini 3.5 Pro" be publicly released by Google?

Will the Pixel 11 Pro’s HiLight let you compose or send messages (SMS, RCS, or Google Messages)?

Will Android TVs and vehicles with Google built‑in get exact calendar dates to switch to Gemini-only?

Will another 'Gemini Robotics 2.0' model be publicly available?

Will Google launch its AI-powered audio glasses in the U.S. by end of Q3 2026?

Will Google let eligible U.S. college students claim one free year of Google AI Pro?

Will Android developer verification be active in Brazil, Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand on September 30?

Will Google’s Gemini-powered audio smart glasses ship before December 31, 2026?

Will Alphabet complete its $80 billion stock sale to scale AI infrastructure by end of Q3 2026?

Will the Google Messages RCS connection error affecting some Galaxy users and people switching carriers be fixed?

Will YouTube offer creators $1,000,000+ to keep their content?

Will Google release the next Gemini Flash model?

Will Google's text market share on OpenRouter be above 18.8%?

Will Pixel 10 (non‑a) phones get "Battery usage summaries" in the US?

Will Gemini 3.7 Flash be available in the regular Gemini chat for individual U.S. users with standard (non‑Pro, non‑Ultra) accounts?

Will an Android 17 QPR2 Beta 4 system image or official OTA be published for any Pixel 11-series model?

Will Pixel 10 trade‑in credits removed when upgrading to Pixel 11 be publicly acknowledged and promised to be restored?

Will the Pixel Watch 5 get Blood Pressure and Insulin Resistance Trends in the US?

Will Pixel Buds Pro 2 or Pixel Buds 2a get a stable update that improves noise cancellation?

Will Pixel Buds Pro 2 or Pixel Buds 2a get an official firmware release describing "dynamic ANC"?

How it turned out

Related topics

Will Google’s Gemini-powered audio smart glasses ship before December 31, 2026?

Will Alphabet complete its $80 billion stock sale to scale AI infrastructure by end of Q3 2026?