🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
934 bets · 32.9K credits11
Details →
PoliticsOpened Sep 22 · Results Oct 1
Will the US and China publicly announce an agreement to create a formal bilateral AI incident‑alert mechanism?
16%
Stable · last 24h
📊 314 bettors💎 11.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 1🤖 Context
YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, two or more independent reputable news organisations report that the US government and the government of the People’s Republic of China have publicly announced an agreement establishing a formal bilateral AI incident‑alert or incident‑notification mechanism, or if both governments issue formal public statements confirming the same. Discussion, proposals, or expressions of intent without a public bilateral agreement or coordinated announcement do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes16%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 16%
- Predictions made
- 314
- Credits staked
- 11,515
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 22, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 24, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 14, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
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