🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25
Will the U.S. reduce or otherwise restrict intelligence sharing with Ukraine?
32%
-3% last 24h
498 bets · 14.6K credits7
Details →Joe Biden
Live prediction markets about Joe Biden. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
56%
crowd accuracy
5/9
right calls
2
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the Biden administration’s new executive order requiring voluntary 30‑day model review for advanced AI models be formally published in the Federal Register by June 30, 2026?
NoThe crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will the U.S. reduce or otherwise restrict intelligence sharing with Ukraine?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 20
32%
Yes
Open questions2
How it turned out9
- Will the Russia sanctions bill the U.S. House approved become U.S. federal law?Yes
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will there be a federal government shutdown on October 1?No
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will CNN and Politico have their White House press credentials suspended or revoked?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 26 - Will the official Palestinian delegation get U.S. visas to attend the U.N. General Assembly in New York?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 24 - Will Israel publicly accept the U.S. ceasefire proposal for Gaza?No
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will U.S. lawmakers pass federal AI-generated content disclosure legislation before September 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will Trump say 'Biden' or 'Obama' 10+ times during the cabinet meeting on July 31?Yes
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 3 - Will the Biden administration’s new executive order requiring voluntary 30‑day model review for advanced AI models be formally published in the Federal Register by June 30, 2026?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 1 - Will the U.S. President sign the Iran–U.S. 60‑day ceasefire MOU by June 5, 2026?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 7