🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 26 · Results Oct 27
Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?
33%
Stable · last 24h
502 bets · 17.4K credits2
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Live prediction markets about Iran. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
65%
crowd accuracy
35/54
right calls
2
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Iran be referred to the UN Security Council?
YesThe crowd was 85% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 12
33%
Yes
Open questions2
🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 1
Will the U.S. House hold a recorded roll-call floor vote on any bill, resolution, or amendment that names Iran or U.S. military action regarding Iran?
33%
Stable · last 24h
4 bets · 235 credits1
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How it turned out55
- Will the UK publicly expel Iranian diplomats or announce sanctions over the Fairford air base incident?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 14 - Will the US publicly accept Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 12 - Will Iran be publicly blamed for the FlyDubai copilot attack?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 11 - Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?No
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 10 - Will the UK publicly say Iran was responsible for the security incident at RAF Fairford?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 9 - Will the Strait of Hormuz be reopened to commercial shipping?No
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 4 - Will the U.S. and Iran say their officials met in person?No
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will the United States carry out and publicly acknowledge kinetic strikes against Iranian government or Iran-backed forces or facilities?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 1 - Will any Iranian government official be physically in New York and give a speech at the UN's 2026 high-level meeting?Yes
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 27 - Will U.S. and Iranian officials meet in person at the United Nations on Sept. 22, 2026?No
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 25