The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 27thunderstorm
TopicWeather
Live prediction markets about thunderstorm. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
Crowd track record
25%
of calls the crowd got right
8
markets settled
The crowd called 2 of 8 settled markets correctly.
Open questions
No open questions on this topic right now — check back soon.
How it turned out
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 26The crowd was 80% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 25The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 25The crowd was 81% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 22The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 14At 06:00 CEST (UTC+02:00) on August 1, 2026, will any French department be orange for thunderstorms?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 1The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 26