thunderstorm
Live prediction markets about thunderstorm. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
50%
crowd accuracy
8/16
right calls
Biggest miss
The crowd was 81% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
Nothing open on thunderstorm right now
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See open questionsHow it turned out16
- Will at least one metropolitan French département, coastal zone, or the national roll-up be on orange or red alert for thunderstorms on 21 October?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 22 - Will at least one metropolitan French département, a coastal zone (littoral), or 'FRANCE' be on orange or red vigilance for thunderstorms on October 5?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 6 - Will any French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national roll‑up be on orange or red alert for thunderstorms on September 17?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 18 - Will any area in Spain have an AEMET 'aviso naranja' or 'aviso rojo' for thunderstorms on September 17?Yes
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 18 - Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national roll-up be orange or red for thunderstorms on 16 September?No
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 17 - Will any area in Spain be under orange or red thunderstorm warnings on September 10?Yes
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 11 - Will any metropolitan French département be in 'vigilance orange' (heightened alert) or 'vigilance rouge' (maximum alert) for thunderstorms on August 28?Yes
The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 29 - Will at least one metropolitan French département be orange or red for thunderstorms on August 27?Yes
The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 28 - Will any metropolitan French département be in 'Vigilance orange' (heightened alert) or 'Vigilance rouge' (top alert) for thunderstorms on August 26?Yes
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 27 - Will any mainland French département be under orange or red thunderstorm alert on August 25?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 26