Will any mainland French département be under orange or red thunderstorm alert on August 25?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's official Vigilance map for 25 August 2026 shows at least one mainland département, a coastal zone, or the national roll‑up at orange or red for the 'Orages' (thunderstorms) hazard at any time on 25 August 2026, otherwise NO. Use Météo‑France's official Vigilance archive for that date. Only the Vigilance product's 'Orages' layer counts; other products do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 35 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

86%

Predictions made

35

Credits staked

1,196

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 24, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 26, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 86% and NO 14%, based on 35 predictions and 1.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any mainland French département be under orange or red thunderstorm alert on August 25?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any mainland French département be under orange or red thunderstorm alert on August 25?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.