Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national roll-up be orange or red for thunderstorms on 16 September?

🤖 Context

YES if the official Météo‑France Vigilance archived map for 16 September 2026 shows at least one metropolitan French département, a coastal vigilance zone, or the national roll‑up for metropolitan France at level orange (3) or red (4) for the thunderstorms (orages) hazard at any timestamp on that calendar day (local French time). Only the orages/thunderstorms hazard counts. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 20%, based on 268 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

20%

Predictions made

268

Credits staked

8,222

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 15, 2026

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 17, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 20% and NO 80%, based on 268 predictions and 8.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national roll-up be orange or red for thunderstorms on 16 September?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département, coastal vigilance zone, or the national roll-up be orange or red for thunderstorms on 16 September?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.