Will any metropolitan French département be in 'Vigilance orange' (heightened alert) or 'Vigilance rouge' (top alert) for thunderstorms on August 26?

🤖 Context

YES if, according to the Météo‑France Vigilance archived map for August 26, 2026 (or reliable contemporaneous reporting citing that archive), at least one metropolitan French département, a metropolitan coastal zone, or the metropolitan national roll‑up is shown at level orange (level 3) or red (level 4) for thunderstorms at any time on August 26, 2026. Otherwise NO. Only the 'thunderstorms' hazard counts; orange/red shown only for overseas territories does not count unless a metropolitan département, metropolitan coastal zone, or the metropolitan national roll‑up is at orange or red.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 22 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

41%

Predictions made

22

Credits staked

1,130

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 25, 2026

Closes

Aug 25, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 27, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 41% and NO 59%, based on 22 predictions and 1.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any metropolitan French département be in 'Vigilance orange' (heightened alert) or 'Vigilance rouge' (top alert) for thunderstorms on August 26?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any metropolitan French département be in 'Vigilance orange' (heightened alert) or 'Vigilance rouge' (top alert) for thunderstorms on August 26?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.