Will at least one metropolitan French département be orange or red for thunderstorms on August 27?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's official Vigilance archived map for 27 August 2026 shows at least one metropolitan French département, a coastal zone, or the national roll-up at orange or red for thunderstorms at any time during that calendar day. NO otherwise. Overseas departments and territories are excluded, and only the thunderstorms ('orages') hazard counts; the separate forest‑fire product does not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 94%, based on 425 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

94%

Predictions made

425

Credits staked

13,602

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 26, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 28, 2026

Resolution source

vigilance.meteofrance.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 94% and NO 6%, based on 425 predictions and 13.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against vigilance.meteofrance.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least one metropolitan French département be orange or red for thunderstorms on August 27?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least one metropolitan French département be orange or red for thunderstorms on August 27?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.