Will any area in Spain be under orange or red thunderstorm warnings on September 10?

🤖 Context

YES if AEMET's official archived warnings for 10 September 2026 show at least one named Spanish area assigned an 'aviso naranja' (orange) or 'aviso rojo' (red) specifically for thunderstorms at any time during the calendar day 10 September 2026, Spain local time (CEST, UTC+02:00). Any orange/red issuance for thunderstorms that occurred during that day counts even if later downgraded. If AEMET's archive shows an overall orange/red for an area without specifying hazards, and no contemporaneous Spanish media clearly attribute that orange/red to thunderstorms, resolve NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 14 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

74%

Predictions made

14

Credits staked

452

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 9, 2026

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 11, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 74% and NO 26%, based on 14 predictions and 452 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain be under orange or red thunderstorm warnings on September 10?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain be under orange or red thunderstorm warnings on September 10?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.