Morena
Live prediction markets about Morena. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
58%
crowd accuracy
7/12
right calls
24
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Enrique Inzunza Cázarez be placed under a 'medida cautelar' (precautionary suspension) that limits his Morena membership rights?
NoThe crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Open questions24
- Will Morena CDMX announce it will use internal opinion surveys to pick at least one 2027 Mexico City candidate?Closes Dec 16402 predictions42%Yes
- Will Morena publish a single definitive national list naming its chosen coordinators/candidates for all 300 federal districts?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 2402 predictions38%Yes
- Will Morena and the PT publicly announce they will run together as a national coalition for the 2027 presidential election?Closes Jan 1402 predictions38%Yes
- Will Morena and the PVEM formally register a coalition to run a single joint candidate for Governor of Tlaxcala?Closes Mar 31 · Results Apr 1402 predictions32%Yes
- Will the Partido del Trabajo and Morena publicly announce a formal electoral coalition for any 2027 races?Closes Jan 1401 predictions43%Yes
- Will Pío López Obrador be Morena's candidate for a diputación in Chiapas?Closes Feb 1401 predictions65%Yes
- Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar be formally nominated as Morena's candidate for Governor of Chihuahua?Closes Mar 31 · Results Apr 1401 predictions60%Yes
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum meet on the record with Tatiana Clouthier in person or in a publicly acknowledged call?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 166 predictions27%Yes
- Will Morena publicly name at least one new state coordinator by direct designation?Closes Dec 14 predictions70%Yes
- Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez formally register to seek Morena's nomination for governor of Zacatecas?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 43 predictions55%Yes
- Will the Partido del Trabajo (PT) publicly announce it is withdrawing from any electoral alliance with Morena for the 2027 federal elections?Closes Apr 13 predictions34%Yes
- Will any of Andrea Chávez, Cruz Pérez Cuéllar, or Luis Carlos Arrieta be declared ineligible for Morena's Chihuahua internal survey?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 30 predictions34%Yes
How it turned out12
- Will Carlos Torres Piña be named Morena's official candidate for governor of Michoacán?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 23 - Will Andrés Manuel "Andy" López Beltrán be listed as an approved coordinator or nominee for Federal District 6 (Tabasco)?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 17 - Will a formal Morena disciplinary case name Enrique Inzunza Cázarez?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will Enrique Inzunza Cázarez stop being a member of Morena?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will Raúl Morón announce he will run for governor of Michoacán?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 14 - Will Morena publish detailed internal survey results used to pick its state coordinators?Yes
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 12 - Will Enrique Inzunza Cázarez be placed under a 'medida cautelar' (precautionary suspension) that limits his Morena membership rights?No
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 19 - Will Morena top 38% in the latest national poll?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 19 - Will Rubén Rocha Moya face a formal disciplinary proceeding by Morena?Yes
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 9 - Will Sonora get a Morena 'coordinador estatal' (state coordinator)?No
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 2