Will Morena and the PVEM formally register a coalition to run a single joint candidate for Governor of Tlaxcala?

🤖 Context

YES if, between October 5, 2026 and no later than March 31, 2027, two or more independent Mexican national news outlets report that Morena and the PVEM have formally registered a coalition agreement with the competent electoral authority to present a single joint candidate for the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election. Otherwise NO. • Two or more independent Mexican national news outlets must report the formal registration. • A mere public statement of intent or attendance at a naming event without formal coalition registration does not count. • Source: Mexican national news outlets and the competent electoral authority (for example the Instituto Electoral de Tlaxcala or the INE).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Mar 31, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Apr 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 402 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

32%

Predictions made

402

Credits staked

7,918

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 5, 2026

Closes

Mar 31, 2027

Expected resolution

Apr 1, 2027

Resolution source

politica.expansion.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Mar 31, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Apr 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 32% and NO 68%, based on 402 predictions and 7.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against politica.expansion.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Morena and the PVEM formally register a coalition to run a single joint candidate for Governor of Tlaxcala?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Morena and the PVEM formally register a coalition to run a single joint candidate for Governor of Tlaxcala?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.