Will Sonora get a Morena 'coordinador estatal' (state coordinator)?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 1, 2026, Morena’s Comisión Nacional de Elecciones or Morena’s official communications publish one or more people explicitly identified as 'coordinador estatal' (or 'coordinadores estatales') for Sonora. Official communications include an announcement on Morena’s website, an official party press release, or a statement on an account the party identifies as official, and major Mexican outlets (for example Expansión, El Universal, Reforma or Milenio) that cite an official Morena announcement also count. Publication of only a shortlist, only poll numbers, only a plan, or unauthorised rumours does not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

60%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

20

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 16, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 2, 2026

Resolution source

politica.expansion.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 60% and NO 40%, based on 2 predictions and 20 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against politica.expansion.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Sonora get a Morena 'coordinador estatal' (state coordinator)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Sonora get a Morena 'coordinador estatal' (state coordinator)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.