🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
994 bets · 34.7K credits13
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PoliticsOpened Oct 4 · Results Oct 16
Will Andrés Manuel "Andy" López Beltrán be listed as an approved coordinator or nominee for Federal District 6 (Tabasco)?
51%
Stable · last 24h
📊 403 bettors💎 7.9K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 16🤖 Context
YES if Morena’s Comisión Nacional de Elecciones or Morena’s national leadership publicly publishes a list that includes Andrés Manuel "Andy" López Beltrán as an approved coordinator or as an approved nominee/candidate for Federal District 6 (Tabasco) on or after 19:00 UTC on October 4, 2026 and no later than October 15, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Two or more independent national news outlets reporting that the Commission included him on the party’s published list also counts. • Internal leaks, social media rumors, or mentions published before 19:00 UTC on October 4, 2026 do not count. • Source: Morena’s Comisión Nacional de Elecciones or two or more independent national news outlets.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No51%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: NO Although Andrés Manuel "Andy" López Beltrán publicly formalized and announced his registration on October 1, 2026, as a candidate (registration candidate) for Federal District 6 of Tabasco, the National Electoral Commission of Morena did not publish an official list approving him as the definitive coordinator or official candidate between October 4 and 15, 2026. On the contrary, reports from national media on October 15 and 16, 2026, confirm that the internal process
Source: eluniversal.com.mxKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 51%
- Predictions made
- 403
- Credits staked
- 7,890
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Oct 4, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 16, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 17, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- eluniversal.com.mx
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Expecting a confirmation on Andy López Beltrán’s candidacy. With the deadline approaching and pressure from within, I think he’ll make the list. The party needs to solidify its choices now.
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