🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 26 · Results Oct 27
Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?
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-3% last 24h
582 bets · 19.7K credits2
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PoliticsOpened Aug 26 · Results Sep 9
Will Rubén Rocha Moya face a formal disciplinary proceeding by Morena?
59%
Stable · last 24h
📊 438 bettors💎 7.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 9🤖 Context
This market resolves yes if, on or before September 8, 2026, two or more independent Mexican news outlets credibly report that Morena’s internal disciplinary bodies publicly opened a formal disciplinary proceeding or published a formal act announcing one against Rubén Rocha Moya. On August 25, 2026, Exclusivas MX, Quinto Poder and El Faro de la Costa Chica reported that Morena’s Comisión Nacional de Honestidad y Justicia opened an internal procedure to review Rocha Moya’s conduct, and Expansion.mx likewise reported that Morena’s internal organs would review the case. Because multiple independent outlets published those reports before September 8, 2026, the condition is met, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes59%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence explicitly report that Morena's internal disciplinary body (the Comisión Nacional de Honestidad y Justicia) opened an internal procedure against Rubén Rocha Moya. Exclusivas MX, Quinto Poder and El Faro de la Costa Chica each state the CNHJ 'abrió un procedimiento interno' to review Rocha Moya’s conduct (reports dated 2026-08-25). Expansion.mx likewise reports Morena's internal organs will review the case. No sources in the pool contradict that a party disciplinary procedure was opened. Therefore, on or before 2026-09-08 Morena’s internal organs had initiated a formal internal procedure against Rubén Rocha Moya.
Source: exclusivasmx.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 59%
- Predictions made
- 438
- Credits staked
- 7,527
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 26, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 8, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 9, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- exclusivasmx.com, quinto-poder.mx, elfarodelacostachica.com.mx
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 7 💎
Given that there's only 13 days left and no formal proceeding has been reported, it's unlikely that Morena will act against Rocha Moya in such a short time frame.
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