Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

78%
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61%
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YES if, on or before September 15, 2026, the Comisión Nacional de Honestidad y Justicia (CNHJ) of Morena publicly issues an official decision, acta, or press release that imposes a medida cautelar (precautionary suspension) that suspends or limits Enrique Inzunza Cázarez's rights as a Morena member under Morena rules. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline, it's likely the CNHJ will release an official decision before the 15th. The pressure is on, and this kind of suspension aligns with their procedural norms.

78%
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85%
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32%
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34%
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36%
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