France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
15%
Yes
Open questions49
How it turned out393
- Will any French department be on orange alert for thunderstorms on August 3?Yes
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 3 - Will any metropolitan French département be at vigilance orange or red for heatwave on August 2?Yes
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 3 - Will France publish its national electronics strategy (“Semi‑conducteurs 2035”) by end of July 2026?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 2 - Will a nationwide referendum on nuclear phase-out be formally proposed in France by July 31, 2026?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 2 - Will the biopic “Michael” exceed 5 million admissions in France by July 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 2 - Will France’s AI & deep‑tech funding (Q2 2026) exceed Q1 2026’s $2.4 billion level?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 2 - Will France launch its €550 million semi‑conductor “France 2030” call for projects by July 31 2026?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 2 - Will SoftBank formally announce an AI infrastructure investment in France by July 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 2 - Will any official Météo‑France station in mainland France record a daily high of at least 40.0°C on July 28, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 1 - Will any French department be under an orange or red heatwave alert between July 28 and August 3, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 1