Will Bitcoin be at least US$77,500 on September 3?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 2YES if published and verified data shows that total funding raised in France for AI and deep‑tech startups in Q2 2026 exceeds $2.4 billion (the Q1 2026 level), NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settled51%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: - Premise (French Tech Journal, 2026-07-03): French startups raised €2.09B in Q2 2026 (April–June). Within that, AI accounted for €1.21B, or 58% of "everything raised this quarter," showing AI is a subset of the total. Source: https://www.frenchtechjournal.com/top-heavy-french-tech-q2-2026-funding-report/ - Premise (Crunchbase News, Q2 2026): In Q2 2026, France’s total startup funding was $2.4B. Source: https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/data-funding-ai-ma-up-europe-q2-2026/ - Inference: Funding to AI and deep-tech startups is a subset of all startup funding in France for the quarter. A subset cannot exceed the total. - Conclusion: Since total French startup funding for Q2 2026 is about $2.4B, AI+deep-tech funding cannot exceed $2.4B. Therefore, the answer is NO.
Source: frenchtechjournal.comSources used to resolve this market
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