Will DeepSeek's market share be above 23.5%?

42%
Stable · last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 1YES if the French government issues the official call for projects (appel à projets) under the ‘Semi‑conducteurs 2035’/France 2030 programme allocating €550 million by 31 July 2026, as announced on 22 May 2026; NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settled55%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence shows the government committed €550 million for semiconductors under France 2030 and then issued the related call. The Direction générale des Entreprises (enterprises.gouv.fr) announced on 2026-05-22 that the government would launch a France 2030 appel à projets “doté de 550 millions d'euros” for the PIIEC/‘Semi‑conducteurs 2035’ effort. Bpifrance’s press release dated 2026-07-16 confirms the appel à projets was launched (open until 01‑09‑2026). Reuters and other independent outlets reported President Macron’s €550m commitment on 2026-05-22. Together these sources corroborate that by 31 July 2026 the French government had issued the France 2030 call for projects tied to the €550m semiconductor allocation.
Source: entreprises.gouv.frSources used to resolve this market
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